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MMA Mixed Martial Arts
starts in 4h · 11:00 PM ET
No arb opportunity has ever been detected for this event.
De-vigged win probability
Sarvarjon Hamidov: 77.1% (3 books)
Best book (Winamax (FR)) vs worst book (FanDuel): $1.08 per $100
Rafael do Nascimento: 22.9% (3 books)
Best book (FanDuel) vs worst book (Winamax (FR)): $1.08 per $100
Proportional de-vig: each book's implied probability (1 / decimal price) is divided by that book's own overround (the sum of its implied probabilities), then averaged across books quoting that side.
| Book | Side | Price | Implied | Overround | Fair (de-vigged) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | Sarvarjon Hamidov | 1.22 | 82% | 106.4% | 77.1% |
| Bally Bet | Rafael do Nascimento | 4.10 | 24.4% | 106.4% | 22.9% |
| FanDuel | Sarvarjon HamidovBest price | 1.24 | 80.6% | 103.9% | 77.6% |
| FanDuel | Rafael do NascimentoBest price | 4.30 | 23.3% | 103.9% | 22.4% |
| Winamax (FR) | Rafael do Nascimento | 3.85 | 26% | 110.7% | 23.5% |
| Winamax (FR) | Sarvarjon Hamidov | 1.18 | 84.7% | 110.7% | 76.5% |
Every figure above is a plain average of the books polled for this event, equally weighted, with no book excluded. This is the market's own number, not a pick, a prediction, or a recommendation — nothing here implies a favorite or a guaranteed outcome.
How each team's completed games have settled since scoring began on September 10, 2026. Records are what happened, not a forecast — nothing here says anything about this game.
No completed games yet
Nothing scored for this team since September 10, 2026.
No completed games yet
Nothing scored for this team since September 10, 2026.
Scoring started on September 10, 2026 and can't be backfilled, so a team that hasn't completed a game since then has no form to show yet.
No EV+ opportunity has ever been detected for this event.