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Soccer Efl Champ
starts in 15h
No arb opportunity has ever been detected for this event.
These are not live prices. The most recent odds recorded for this event were polled 2h ago — more than 55 minutes ago — so the consensus and best-price panels below describe the market as it last stood, not as it stands now. Books quote a game more actively as it approaches, and this page updates as they do.
Average estimated score
Derby County 1.2 — 1.3 Stoke City
Derived from the consensus total (2.5, 8 books) and consensus margin (-0.1, 3 books) below — home ≈ (total + margin) / 2, away ≈ (total − margin) / 2. Not a prediction; the market's own average, shown with the arithmetic that produced it.
Consensus total
2.5 points
Mean of 8 book(s).
| Book | Value |
|---|---|
| betPARX | 2.5 |
| Bally Bet | 2.5 |
| BetRivers | 2.5 |
| Bovada | 2.5 |
| BetUS | 2.5 |
| BetMGM | 2.5 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.5 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.5 |
Consensus margin (Derby County minus Stoke City)
-0.1 points
Mean of 3 book(s).
| Book | Value |
|---|---|
| Bovada | -0.3 |
| BetOnline.ag | 0 |
| LowVig.ag | 0 |
De-vigged win probability
Draw: 27.4% (13 books)
Best book (Hard Rock Bet) vs worst book (FanDuel): $1.75 per $100
Derby County: 33.2% (13 books)
Best book (FanDuel) vs worst book (Hard Rock Bet): $2.77 per $100
Stoke City: 39.4% (13 books)
Best book (BetRivers) vs worst book (theScore Bet): $1.86 per $100
Proportional de-vig: each book's implied probability (1 / decimal price) is divided by that book's own overround (the sum of its implied probabilities), then averaged across books quoting that side.
| Book | Side | Price | Implied | Overround | Fair (de-vigged) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | DrawBest price | 3.50 | 28.6% | 104.7% | 27.3% |
| DraftKings | Derby County | 2.90 | 34.5% | 104.7% | 32.9% |
| DraftKings | Stoke City | 2.40 | 41.7% | 104.7% | 39.8% |
| betPARX | Derby County | 2.70 | 37% | 107.7% | 34.4% |
| betPARX | Stoke City | 2.40 | 41.7% | 107.7% | 38.7% |
| betPARX | Draw | 3.45 | 29% | 107.7% | 26.9% |
| Bally Bet | Derby County | 2.70 | 37% | 107.7% | 34.4% |
| Bally Bet | Stoke City | 2.40 | 41.7% | 107.7% | 38.7% |
Every figure above is a plain average of the books polled for this event, equally weighted, with no book excluded. This is the market's own number, not a pick, a prediction, or a recommendation — nothing here implies a favorite or a guaranteed outcome.
Moneyline arb — the two best prices cross (75.4% combined implied probability, under 100%). Back both sides at different books to lock it. Not investment advice.
How each team's completed games have settled since scoring began on September 10, 2026. Records are what happened, not a forecast — nothing here says anything about this game.
2 completed games
| Split | Record | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Over hit | 1-1 | — |
| Under hit | 1-1 | — |
| Covered the spread | 1-1 | — |
| Covered at home | 0-1 | — |
| Covered on the road | 1-0 | — |
| Covered as favorite | — | — |
| Covered as underdog | 1-1 |
No EV+ opportunity has ever been detected for this event.
| Bally Bet |
| Draw |
| 3.45 |
| 29% |
| 107.7% |
| 26.9% |
| BetRivers | Derby County | 2.65 | 37.7% | 110.1% | 34.3% |
| BetRivers | Stoke City | 2.35 | 42.6% | 110.1% | 38.6% |
| BetRivers | Draw | 3.35 | 29.9% | 110.1% | 27.1% |
| ReBet | Derby County | 2.80 | 35.7% | 110.1% | 32.5% |
| ReBet | Stoke City | 2.30 | 43.5% | 110.1% | 39.5% |
| ReBet | Draw | 3.24 | 30.9% | 110.1% | 28% |
| Hard Rock Bet | Derby County | 2.70 | 37% | 107.3% | 34.5% |
| Hard Rock Bet | Stoke City | 2.40 | 41.7% | 107.3% | 38.8% |
| Hard Rock Bet | Draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 107.3% | 26.6% |
| FanDuel | Derby CountyBest price | 2.95 | 33.9% | 106.8% | 31.8% |
| FanDuel | Stoke City | 2.35 | 42.6% | 106.8% | 39.9% |
| FanDuel | Draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 106.8% | 28.4% |
| Bovada | Derby County | 2.85 | 35.1% | 107.1% | 32.8% |
| Bovada | Stoke City | 2.35 | 42.6% | 107.1% | 39.7% |
| Bovada | Draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 107.1% | 27.5% |
| BetUS | Derby County | 2.85 | 35.1% | 107.1% | 32.8% |
| BetUS | Stoke City | 2.35 | 42.6% | 107.1% | 39.7% |
| BetUS | Draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 107.1% | 27.5% |
| BetMGM | Derby County | 2.88 | 34.7% | 106.2% | 32.7% |
| BetMGM | Stoke City | 2.38 | 42% | 106.2% | 39.6% |
| BetMGM | Draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 106.2% | 27.7% |
| theScore Bet | Derby County | 2.90 | 34.5% | 107.4% | 32.1% |
| theScore Bet | Stoke City | 2.30 | 43.5% | 107.4% | 40.5% |
| theScore Bet | Draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 107.4% | 27.4% |
| BetOnline.ag | Derby County | 2.89 | 34.6% | 105% | 33% |
| BetOnline.ag | Stoke CityBest price | 2.41 | 41.5% | 105% | 39.5% |
| BetOnline.ag | Draw | 3.46 | 28.9% | 105% | 27.5% |
| LowVig.ag | Derby County | 2.89 | 34.6% | 105% | 33% |
| LowVig.ag | Stoke City | 2.41 | 41.5% | 105% | 39.5% |
| LowVig.ag | Draw | 3.46 | 28.9% | 105% | 27.5% |
| Covered at home as underdog | 0-1 | — |
|---|
2 completed games
| Split | Record | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Over hit | 2-0 | — |
| Under hit | 0-2 | — |
| Covered the spread | 2-0 | — |
| Covered at home | 1-0 | — |
| Covered on the road | 1-0 | — |
| Covered as favorite | — | — |
| Covered as underdog | — | — |
| Covered at home as underdog | — | — |
A rate appears only once a split has at least 5 decided games; below that the record is shown on its own. Pushes are counted in the record (the third number) but excluded from the rate, and games with no usable final score are excluded entirely. History starts on September 10, 2026 and can't be backfilled, so these records are short by design and grow with every completed game.