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Soccer Brazil Serie B
starts in 31m · 7:30 PM ET
No arb opportunity has ever been detected for this event.
Average estimated score
Sport Recife 1.2 — 1.3 Fortaleza
Derived from the consensus total (2.4, 19 books) and consensus margin (-0.1, 9 books) below — home ≈ (total + margin) / 2, away ≈ (total − margin) / 2. Not a prediction; the market's own average, shown with the arithmetic that produced it.
Consensus total
2.4 points
Mean of 19 book(s).
| Book | Value |
|---|---|
| Bovada | 2.3 |
| BetUS | 2.3 |
| BetMGM | 2.5 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.3 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.3 |
| BetRivers | 2.5 |
| betPARX | 2.5 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.5 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.5 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.5 |
| Nordic Bet | 2.5 |
| Coolbet | 2.5 |
| 1xBet | 2.5 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.5 |
| William Hill | 2.5 |
| Pinnacle | 2.3 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.5 |
| Tipico | 2.5 |
| Matchbook | 2.5 |
Consensus margin (Sport Recife minus Fortaleza)
-0.1 points
Mean of 9 book(s).
| Book | Value |
|---|---|
| Bovada | 0 |
| BetUS | 0 |
| BetOnline.ag | 0 |
| LowVig.ag | 0 |
| Coolbet | -1 |
| 1xBet | 0 |
| Marathon Bet | 0 |
| Pinnacle | 0 |
| Matchbook | 0 |
De-vigged win probability
Draw: 28.9% (25 books)
Best book (Bovada) vs worst book (Betsson): $2.07 per $100
Sport Recife: 35% (25 books)
Best book (Tipico) vs worst book (FanDuel): $4.97 per $100
Fortaleza: 36.1% (25 books)
Best book (LeoVegas (SE)) vs worst book (Tipico): $5.57 per $100
Proportional de-vig: each book's implied probability (1 / decimal price) is divided by that book's own overround (the sum of its implied probabilities), then averaged across books quoting that side.
| Book | Side | Price | Implied | Overround | Fair (de-vigged) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | Draw | 3.35 | 29.9% | 106% | 28.1% |
| DraftKings | Sport Recife | 2.60 | 38.5% | 106% | 36.3% |
| DraftKings | Fortaleza | 2.65 | 37.7% | 106% | 35.6% |
| theScore Bet | Draw | 3.20 | 31.3% | 109.7% | 28.5% |
| theScore Bet | Sport Recife | 2.60 | 38.5% | 109.7% | 35.1% |
| theScore Bet | Fortaleza | 2.50 | 40% | 109.7% | 36.5% |
| Bovada | Draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 108.4% | 27.9% |
| Bovada | Sport Recife | 2.54 | 39.4% | 108.4% | 36.3% |
| Bovada | Fortaleza | 2.58 | 38.8% | 108.4% |
Every figure above is a plain average of the books polled for this event, equally weighted, with no book excluded. This is the market's own number, not a pick, a prediction, or a recommendation — nothing here implies a favorite or a guaranteed outcome.
Moneyline arb — the two best prices cross (71.1% combined implied probability, under 100%). Back both sides at different books to lock it. Not investment advice.
How each team's completed games have settled since scoring began on September 10, 2026. Records are what happened, not a forecast — nothing here says anything about this game.
4 completed games
| Split | Record | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Over hit | 3-1 | — |
| Under hit | 1-3 | — |
| Covered the spread | 1-3 | — |
| Covered at home | 1-1 | — |
| Covered on the road | 0-2 | — |
| Covered as favorite | 1-1 | — |
| Covered as underdog | 0-2 |
No EV+ opportunity has ever been detected for this event.
| 35.7% |
| BetUS | Draw | 3.36 | 29.8% | 103.8% | 28.7% |
| BetUS | Sport Recife | 2.79 | 35.8% | 103.8% | 34.5% |
| BetUS | Fortaleza | 2.62 | 38.2% | 103.8% | 36.8% |
| BetMGM | Draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 109.2% | 29.5% |
| BetMGM | Sport Recife | 2.65 | 37.7% | 109.2% | 34.6% |
| BetMGM | Fortaleza | 2.55 | 39.2% | 109.2% | 35.9% |
| FanDuel | Draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 108% | 28% |
| FanDuel | Sport Recife | 2.50 | 40% | 108% | 37% |
| FanDuel | Fortaleza | 2.65 | 37.7% | 108% | 34.9% |
| BetOnline.ag | Draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 106.4% | 28.5% |
| BetOnline.ag | Sport Recife | 2.56 | 39.1% | 106.4% | 36.7% |
| BetOnline.ag | FortalezaBest price | 2.70 | 37% | 106.4% | 34.8% |
| BetRivers | Fortaleza | 2.63 | 38% | 110.3% | 34.5% |
| BetRivers | Sport Recife | 2.50 | 40% | 110.3% | 36.3% |
| BetRivers | Draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 110.3% | 29.3% |
| betPARX | Fortaleza | 2.70 | 37% | 107.5% | 34.5% |
| betPARX | Sport Recife | 2.55 | 39.2% | 107.5% | 36.5% |
| betPARX | Draw | 3.20 | 31.3% | 107.5% | 29.1% |
| LowVig.ag | Fortaleza | 2.70 | 37% | 106.4% | 34.8% |
| LowVig.ag | Sport Recife | 2.56 | 39.1% | 106.4% | 36.7% |
| LowVig.ag | Draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 106.4% | 28.5% |
| LeoVegas (SE) | Fortaleza | 2.60 | 38.5% | 112.1% | 34.3% |
| LeoVegas (SE) | Sport Recife | 2.45 | 40.8% | 112.1% | 36.4% |
| LeoVegas (SE) | Draw | 3.05 | 32.8% | 112.1% | 29.3% |
| Unibet (NL) | Fortaleza | 2.70 | 37% | 107.5% | 34.5% |
| Unibet (NL) | Sport Recife | 2.55 | 39.2% | 107.5% | 36.5% |
| Unibet (NL) | Draw | 3.20 | 31.3% | 107.5% | 29.1% |
| Unibet (SE) | Fortaleza | 2.70 | 37% | 107.5% | 34.5% |
| Unibet (SE) | Sport Recife | 2.55 | 39.2% | 107.5% | 36.5% |
| Unibet (SE) | Draw | 3.20 | 31.3% | 107.5% | 29.1% |
| Betsson | Fortaleza | 2.52 | 39.7% | 109.2% | 36.3% |
| Betsson | Sport Recife | 2.72 | 36.8% | 109.2% | 33.7% |
| Betsson | Draw | 3.05 | 32.8% | 109.2% | 30% |
| Nordic Bet | Fortaleza | 2.52 | 39.7% | 109.2% | 36.3% |
| Nordic Bet | Sport Recife | 2.72 | 36.8% | 109.2% | 33.7% |
| Nordic Bet | Draw | 3.05 | 32.8% | 109.2% | 30% |
| Coolbet | Fortaleza | 2.55 | 39.2% | 107% | 36.6% |
| Coolbet | Sport Recife | 2.70 | 37% | 107% | 34.6% |
| Coolbet | Draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 107% | 28.8% |
| 1xBet | Fortaleza | 2.51 | 39.8% | 108.6% | 36.7% |
| 1xBet | Sport Recife | 2.65 | 37.7% | 108.6% | 34.7% |
| 1xBet | Draw | 3.22 | 31.1% | 108.6% | 28.6% |
| Marathon Bet | Fortaleza | 2.51 | 39.8% | 108.6% | 36.7% |
| Marathon Bet | Sport Recife | 2.65 | 37.7% | 108.6% | 34.7% |
| Marathon Bet | Draw | 3.22 | 31.1% | 108.6% | 28.6% |
| 888sport | Fortaleza | 2.50 | 40% | 109.3% | 36.6% |
| 888sport | Sport Recife | 2.70 | 37% | 109.3% | 33.9% |
| 888sport | Draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 109.3% | 29.5% |
| William Hill | Fortaleza | 2.50 | 40% | 109.3% | 36.6% |
| William Hill | Sport Recife | 2.70 | 37% | 109.3% | 33.9% |
| William Hill | Draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 109.3% | 29.5% |
| Pinnacle | Fortaleza | 2.55 | 39.2% | 103.9% | 37.8% |
| Pinnacle | Sport Recife | 2.83 | 35.3% | 103.9% | 34% |
| Pinnacle | DrawBest price | 3.41 | 29.3% | 103.9% | 28.2% |
| Codere (IT) | Fortaleza | 2.50 | 40% | 109.3% | 36.6% |
| Codere (IT) | Sport Recife | 2.70 | 37% | 109.3% | 33.9% |
| Codere (IT) | Draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 109.3% | 29.5% |
| Tipico | Fortaleza | 2.25 | 44.4% | 111.4% | 39.9% |
| Tipico | Sport Recife | 2.80 | 35.7% | 111.4% | 32.1% |
| Tipico | Draw | 3.20 | 31.3% | 111.4% | 28% |
| Matchbook | Fortaleza | 2.64 | 37.9% | 101.3% | 37.4% |
| Matchbook | Sport RecifeBest price | 2.94 | 34% | 101.3% | 33.6% |
| Matchbook | Draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 101.3% | 29% |
| Betfair | Fortaleza | 2.62 | 38.2% | 101.8% | 37.5% |
| Betfair | Sport Recife | 2.92 | 34.2% | 101.8% | 33.6% |
| Betfair | Draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 101.8% | 28.9% |
| — |
| Covered at home as underdog | — | — |
|---|
2 completed games
| Split | Record | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Over hit | 1-1 | — |
| Under hit | 1-1 | — |
| Covered the spread | 1-1 | — |
| Covered at home | 0-1 | — |
| Covered on the road | 1-0 | — |
| Covered as favorite | 0-1 | — |
| Covered as underdog | — | — |
| Covered at home as underdog | — | — |
A rate appears only once a split has at least 5 decided games; below that the record is shown on its own. Pushes are counted in the record (the third number) but excluded from the rate, and games with no usable final score are excluded entirely. History starts on September 10, 2026 and can't be backfilled, so these records are short by design and grow with every completed game.