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Soccer Argentina Primera Division
starts in 3d
No arb opportunity has ever been detected for this event.
Average estimated score
Deportivo Riestra 1.1 — 0.7 Union Santa Fe
Derived from the consensus total (1.8, 6 books) and consensus margin (+0.4, 4 books) below — home ≈ (total + margin) / 2, away ≈ (total − margin) / 2. Not a prediction; the market's own average, shown with the arithmetic that produced it.
Consensus total
1.8 points
Mean of 6 book(s).
| Book | Value |
|---|---|
| BetAnything | 2 |
| LowVig.ag | 2 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2 |
| Bovada | 2 |
| BetMGM | 1.5 |
| BetRivers | 1.5 |
Consensus margin (Deportivo Riestra minus Union Santa Fe)
+0.4 points
Mean of 4 book(s).
| Book | Value |
|---|---|
| BetAnything | +0.5 |
| LowVig.ag | +0.5 |
| Bovada | +0.3 |
| BetOnline.ag | +0.5 |
De-vigged win probability
Draw: 32% (10 books)
Best book (BetMGM) vs worst book (DraftKings): $2.01 per $100
Union Santa Fe: 26.5% (10 books)
Best book (BetRivers) vs worst book (BetMGM): $2.52 per $100
Deportivo Riestra: 41.4% (10 books)
Best book (FanDuel) vs worst book (BetRivers): $2.62 per $100
Proportional de-vig: each book's implied probability (1 / decimal price) is divided by that book's own overround (the sum of its implied probabilities), then averaged across books quoting that side.
| Book | Side | Price | Implied | Overround | Fair (de-vigged) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | Draw | 2.92 | 34.2% | 104.9% | 32.6% |
| BetAnything | Union Santa FeBest price | 3.65 | 27.4% | 104.9% | 26.1% |
| BetAnything | Deportivo RiestraBest price | 2.31 | 43.3% | 104.9% | 41.3% |
| LowVig.ag | Draw | 2.92 | 34.2% | 104.9% | 32.6% |
| LowVig.ag | Union Santa Fe | 3.65 | 27.4% | 104.9% | 26.1% |
| LowVig.ag | Deportivo Riestra | 2.31 | 43.3% | 104.9% | 41.3% |
| FanDuel | Deportivo Riestra | 2.30 | 43.5% | 106.8% | 40.7% |
Every figure above is a plain average of the books polled for this event, equally weighted, with no book excluded. This is the market's own number, not a pick, a prediction, or a recommendation — nothing here implies a favorite or a guaranteed outcome.
Moneyline arb — the two best prices cross (70.7% combined implied probability, under 100%). Back both sides at different books to lock it. Not investment advice.
How each team's completed games have settled since scoring began on September 10, 2026. Records are what happened, not a forecast — nothing here says anything about this game.
2 completed games
| Split | Record | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Over hit | 1-1 | — |
| Under hit | 1-1 | — |
| Covered the spread | 0-1-1 | — |
| Covered at home | 0-1 | — |
| Covered on the road | 0-0-1 | — |
| Covered as favorite | — | — |
| Covered as underdog | — |
No EV+ opportunity has ever been detected for this event.
| FanDuel |
| Union Santa Fe |
| 3.40 |
| 29.4% |
| 106.8% |
| 27.5% |
| FanDuel | Draw | 2.95 | 33.9% | 106.8% | 31.7% |
| Bovada | Deportivo Riestra | 2.25 | 44.4% | 107.5% | 41.3% |
| Bovada | Union Santa Fe | 3.50 | 28.6% | 107.5% | 26.6% |
| Bovada | Draw | 2.90 | 34.5% | 107.5% | 32.1% |
| Fanatics | Deportivo Riestra | 2.25 | 44.4% | 106.3% | 41.8% |
| Fanatics | Union Santa Fe | 3.50 | 28.6% | 106.3% | 26.9% |
| Fanatics | DrawBest price | 3.00 | 33.3% | 106.3% | 31.3% |
| BetMGM | Deportivo Riestra | 2.25 | 44.4% | 108.1% | 41.1% |
| BetMGM | Union Santa Fe | 3.30 | 30.3% | 108.1% | 28% |
| BetMGM | Draw | 3.00 | 33.3% | 108.1% | 30.8% |
| BetRivers | Deportivo Riestra | 2.12 | 47.2% | 108.8% | 43.3% |
| BetRivers | Union Santa Fe | 3.60 | 27.8% | 108.8% | 25.5% |
| BetRivers | Draw | 2.95 | 33.9% | 108.8% | 31.1% |
| theScore Bet | Deportivo Riestra | 2.20 | 45.5% | 109.7% | 41.4% |
| theScore Bet | Union Santa Fe | 3.50 | 28.6% | 109.7% | 26% |
| theScore Bet | Draw | 2.80 | 35.7% | 109.7% | 32.5% |
| DraftKings | Deportivo Riestra | 2.25 | 44.4% | 108.7% | 40.9% |
| DraftKings | Union Santa Fe | 3.50 | 28.6% | 108.7% | 26.3% |
| DraftKings | Draw | 2.80 | 35.7% | 108.7% | 32.8% |
| BetOnline.ag | Deportivo Riestra | 2.31 | 43.3% | 104.9% | 41.3% |
| BetOnline.ag | Union Santa Fe | 3.65 | 27.4% | 104.9% | 26.1% |
| BetOnline.ag | Draw | 2.92 | 34.2% | 104.9% | 32.6% |
| — |
| Covered at home as underdog | — | — |
|---|
2 completed games
| Split | Record | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Over hit | 2-0 | — |
| Under hit | 0-2 | — |
| Covered the spread | 0-2 | — |
| Covered at home | 0-1 | — |
| Covered on the road | 0-1 | — |
| Covered as favorite | — | — |
| Covered as underdog | 0-1 | — |
| Covered at home as underdog | — | — |
A rate appears only once a split has at least 5 decided games; below that the record is shown on its own. Pushes are counted in the record (the third number) but excluded from the rate, and games with no usable final score are excluded entirely. History starts on September 10, 2026 and can't be backfilled, so these records are short by design and grow with every completed game.