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Soccer Brazil Serie B
starts in 2d
No arb opportunity has ever been detected for this event.
Average estimated score
Vila Nova 1.2 — 1.3 Grêmio Novorizontino
Derived from the consensus total (2.4, 19 books) and consensus margin (-0.1, 9 books) below — home ≈ (total + margin) / 2, away ≈ (total − margin) / 2. Not a prediction; the market's own average, shown with the arithmetic that produced it.
Consensus total
2.4 points
Mean of 19 book(s).
| Book | Value |
|---|---|
| BetUS | 2.3 |
| Bovada | 2.3 |
| BetMGM | 2.5 |
| betPARX | 2.5 |
| BetRivers | 2.5 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.3 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.3 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.5 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.5 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.5 |
| Nordic Bet | 2.5 |
| Coolbet | 2.5 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.5 |
| 1xBet | 2.5 |
| William Hill | 2.5 |
| Pinnacle | 2.3 |
| Tipico | 2.5 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.5 |
| Matchbook | 2.5 |
Consensus margin (Vila Nova minus Grêmio Novorizontino)
-0.1 points
Mean of 9 book(s).
| Book | Value |
|---|---|
| BetUS | 0 |
| Bovada | 0 |
| LowVig.ag | 0 |
| BetOnline.ag | 0 |
| Coolbet | -1 |
| Marathon Bet | 0 |
| 1xBet | 0 |
| Pinnacle | 0 |
| Matchbook | 0 |
De-vigged win probability
Draw: 30% (25 books)
Best book (BetMGM) vs worst book (Tipico): $4.84 per $100
Vila Nova: 34.2% (25 books)
Best book (Tipico) vs worst book (FanDuel): $3.25 per $100
Grêmio Novorizontino: 35.8% (25 books)
Best book (Tipico) vs worst book (BetMGM): $2.55 per $100
Proportional de-vig: each book's implied probability (1 / decimal price) is divided by that book's own overround (the sum of its implied probabilities), then averaged across books quoting that side.
| Book | Side | Price | Implied | Overround | Fair (de-vigged) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | Draw | 3.05 | 32.8% | 107.8% | 30.4% |
| BetUS | Vila Nova | 2.76 | 36.2% | 107.8% | 33.6% |
| BetUS | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.58 | 38.8% | 107.8% | 36% |
| DraftKings | Draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 107.1% | 30.1% |
| DraftKings | Vila Nova | 2.75 | 36.4% | 107.1% | 34% |
| DraftKings | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.60 | 38.5% | 107.1% | 35.9% |
| Bovada | Draw | 3.00 | 33.3% | 108.5% | 30.7% |
| Bovada | Vila Nova | 2.76 | 36.2% | 108.5% | 33.4% |
| Bovada | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.57 | 38.9% |
Every figure above is a plain average of the books polled for this event, equally weighted, with no book excluded. This is the market's own number, not a pick, a prediction, or a recommendation — nothing here implies a favorite or a guaranteed outcome.
Moneyline arb — the two best prices cross (72.1% combined implied probability, under 100%). Back both sides at different books to lock it. Not investment advice.
How each team's completed games have settled since scoring began on September 10, 2026. Records are what happened, not a forecast — nothing here says anything about this game.
4 completed games
| Split | Record | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Over hit | 1-3 | — |
| Under hit | 3-1 | — |
| Covered the spread | 2-0-2 | — |
| Covered at home | 2-0-1 | — |
| Covered on the road | 0-0-1 | — |
| Covered as favorite | 2-0-1 | — |
| Covered as underdog | — |
No EV+ opportunity has ever been detected for this event.
| 108.5% |
| 35.9% |
| theScore Bet | DrawBest price | 3.20 | 31.3% | 108.9% | 28.7% |
| theScore Bet | Vila Nova | 2.60 | 38.5% | 108.9% | 35.3% |
| theScore Bet | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.55 | 39.2% | 108.9% | 36% |
| betPARX | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.60 | 38.5% | 107.2% | 35.9% |
| betPARX | Vila Nova | 2.70 | 37% | 107.2% | 34.5% |
| betPARX | Draw | 3.15 | 31.7% | 107.2% | 29.6% |
| BetRivers | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.55 | 39.2% | 110% | 35.6% |
| BetRivers | Vila Nova | 2.63 | 38% | 110% | 34.6% |
| BetRivers | Draw | 3.05 | 32.8% | 110% | 29.8% |
| LowVig.ag | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.58 | 38.8% | 107.8% | 36% |
| LowVig.ag | Vila Nova | 2.76 | 36.2% | 107.8% | 33.6% |
| LowVig.ag | Draw | 3.05 | 32.8% | 107.8% | 30.4% |
| BetOnline.ag | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.58 | 38.8% | 107.8% | 36% |
| BetOnline.ag | Vila Nova | 2.76 | 36.2% | 107.8% | 33.6% |
| BetOnline.ag | Draw | 3.05 | 32.8% | 107.8% | 30.4% |
| FanDuel | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.55 | 39.2% | 109.7% | 35.8% |
| FanDuel | Vila Nova | 2.55 | 39.2% | 109.7% | 35.8% |
| FanDuel | Draw | 3.20 | 31.3% | 109.7% | 28.5% |
| BetMGM | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.45 | 40.8% | 110.5% | 36.9% |
| BetMGM | Vila Nova | 2.60 | 38.5% | 110.5% | 34.8% |
| BetMGM | Draw | 3.20 | 31.3% | 110.5% | 28.3% |
| LeoVegas (SE) | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.48 | 40.3% | 112.1% | 36% |
| LeoVegas (SE) | Vila Nova | 2.60 | 38.5% | 112.1% | 34.3% |
| LeoVegas (SE) | Draw | 3.00 | 33.3% | 112.1% | 29.7% |
| Unibet (SE) | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.60 | 38.5% | 107.2% | 35.9% |
| Unibet (SE) | Vila Nova | 2.70 | 37% | 107.2% | 34.5% |
| Unibet (SE) | Draw | 3.15 | 31.7% | 107.2% | 29.6% |
| Unibet (NL) | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.60 | 38.5% | 107.2% | 35.9% |
| Unibet (NL) | Vila Nova | 2.70 | 37% | 107.2% | 34.5% |
| Unibet (NL) | Draw | 3.15 | 31.7% | 107.2% | 29.6% |
| Betsson | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.55 | 39.2% | 109.2% | 35.9% |
| Betsson | Vila Nova | 2.65 | 37.7% | 109.2% | 34.6% |
| Betsson | Draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 109.2% | 29.5% |
| Nordic Bet | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.55 | 39.2% | 109.2% | 35.9% |
| Nordic Bet | Vila Nova | 2.65 | 37.7% | 109.2% | 34.6% |
| Nordic Bet | Draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 109.2% | 29.5% |
| Coolbet | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.65 | 37.7% | 106.7% | 35.4% |
| Coolbet | Vila Nova | 2.65 | 37.7% | 106.7% | 35.4% |
| Coolbet | Draw | 3.20 | 31.3% | 106.7% | 29.3% |
| Marathon Bet | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.62 | 38.2% | 108.6% | 35.1% |
| Marathon Bet | Vila Nova | 2.68 | 37.3% | 108.6% | 34.4% |
| Marathon Bet | Draw | 3.02 | 33.1% | 108.6% | 30.5% |
| 1xBet | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.62 | 38.2% | 108.6% | 35.1% |
| 1xBet | Vila Nova | 2.68 | 37.3% | 108.6% | 34.4% |
| 1xBet | Draw | 3.02 | 33.1% | 108.6% | 30.5% |
| 888sport | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.50 | 40% | 109.7% | 36.5% |
| 888sport | Vila Nova | 2.75 | 36.4% | 109.7% | 33.1% |
| 888sport | Draw | 3.00 | 33.3% | 109.7% | 30.4% |
| William Hill | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.50 | 40% | 109.7% | 36.5% |
| William Hill | Vila Nova | 2.75 | 36.4% | 109.7% | 33.1% |
| William Hill | Draw | 3.00 | 33.3% | 109.7% | 30.4% |
| Pinnacle | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.64 | 37.9% | 105.4% | 35.9% |
| Pinnacle | Vila NovaBest price | 2.83 | 35.3% | 105.4% | 33.5% |
| Pinnacle | Draw | 3.11 | 32.2% | 105.4% | 30.5% |
| Tipico | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.60 | 38.5% | 111.9% | 34.4% |
| Tipico | Vila Nova | 2.75 | 36.4% | 111.9% | 32.5% |
| Tipico | Draw | 2.70 | 37% | 111.9% | 33.1% |
| Codere (IT) | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.50 | 40% | 111.2% | 36% |
| Codere (IT) | Vila Nova | 2.60 | 38.5% | 111.2% | 34.6% |
| Codere (IT) | Draw | 3.05 | 32.8% | 111.2% | 29.5% |
| Matchbook | Grêmio NovorizontinoBest price | 2.72 | 36.8% | 104% | 35.4% |
| Matchbook | Vila Nova | 2.82 | 35.5% | 104% | 34.1% |
| Matchbook | Draw | 3.15 | 31.7% | 104% | 30.5% |
| Betfair | Grêmio Novorizontino | 2.72 | 36.8% | 106.3% | 34.6% |
| Betfair | Vila Nova | 2.76 | 36.2% | 106.3% | 34.1% |
| Betfair | Draw | 3.00 | 33.3% | 106.3% | 31.3% |
| — |
| Covered at home as underdog | — | — |
|---|
3 completed games
| Split | Record | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Over hit | 1-2 | — |
| Under hit | 2-1 | — |
| Covered the spread | 0-3 | — |
| Covered at home | 0-2 | — |
| Covered on the road | 0-1 | — |
| Covered as favorite | 0-2 | — |
| Covered as underdog | — | — |
| Covered at home as underdog | — | — |
A rate appears only once a split has at least 5 decided games; below that the record is shown on its own. Pushes are counted in the record (the third number) but excluded from the rate, and games with no usable final score are excluded entirely. History starts on September 10, 2026 and can't be backfilled, so these records are short by design and grow with every completed game.