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Americanfootball NCAAF
starts in 20h
No arb opportunity has ever been detected for this event.
These are not live prices. The most recent odds recorded for this event were polled 19h ago — more than 55 minutes ago — so the consensus and best-price panels below describe the market as it last stood, not as it stands now. Books quote a game more actively as it approaches, and this page updates as they do.
Average estimated score
Michigan Wolverines 24.8 — 17.9 Penn State Nittany Lions
Derived from the consensus total (42.6, 18 books) and consensus margin (+6.9, 18 books) below — home ≈ (total + margin) / 2, away ≈ (total − margin) / 2. Not a prediction; the market's own average, shown with the arithmetic that produced it.
Consensus total
42.6 points
Mean of 18 book(s).
| Book | Value |
|---|---|
| BetAnything | 42.5 |
| Bovada | 42.5 |
| BetUS | 42.5 |
| Caesars | 42.5 |
| BetMGM | 42.5 |
| DraftKings | 42.5 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 43.5 |
| MyBookie.ag | 42.5 |
| Courtside | 42.5 |
| Fliff | 42.5 |
| BetRivers | 43 |
| betPARX | 43 |
| Bally Bet | 43 |
| FanDuel | 42.5 |
| ReBet | 42.5 |
| theScore Bet | 42.5 |
| LowVig.ag | 42.5 |
| BetOnline.ag | 42.5 |
Consensus margin (Michigan Wolverines minus Penn State Nittany Lions)
+6.9 points
Mean of 18 book(s).
| Book | Value |
|---|---|
| BetAnything | +7 |
| Bovada | +7 |
| BetUS | +7 |
| Caesars | +7 |
| DraftKings | +7 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +6.5 |
| MyBookie.ag | +7 |
| Courtside | +7 |
| Fliff | +6.5 |
| BetRivers | +7 |
| betPARX | +7 |
| Bally Bet | +7 |
| FanDuel | +6.5 |
| ReBet | +6.5 |
| theScore Bet | +7.5 |
| LowVig.ag | +7 |
| BetOnline.ag | +7 |
| BetMGM | +7 |
De-vigged win probability
Penn State Nittany Lions: 30.8% (18 books)
Best book (BetRivers) vs worst book (MyBookie.ag): $2.82 per $100
Michigan Wolverines: 69.2% (18 books)
Best book (MyBookie.ag) vs worst book (BetRivers): $2.82 per $100
Proportional de-vig: each book's implied probability (1 / decimal price) is divided by that book's own overround (the sum of its implied probabilities), then averaged across books quoting that side.
| Book | Side | Price | Implied | Overround | Fair (de-vigged) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | Penn State Nittany Lions | 3.10 | 32.3% | 103.7% | 31.1% |
| BetAnything | Michigan Wolverines | 1.40 | 71.4% | 103.7% | 68.9% |
| Bovada | Penn State Nittany Lions | 3.15 | 31.7% | 104.2% | 30.5% |
| Bovada | Michigan Wolverines | 1.38 | 72.5% | 104.2% | 69.5% |
| BetUS | Penn State Nittany Lions | 3.10 | 32.3% | 103.7% | 31.1% |
| BetUS | Michigan Wolverines | 1.40 | 71.4% | 103.7% | 68.9% |
| Caesars | Penn State Nittany Lions | 3.10 | 32.3% | 104.7% | 30.8% |
| Caesars | Michigan Wolverines | 1.38 | 72.5% | 104.7% | 69.2% |
| DraftKings | Michigan Wolverines | 1.39 | 71.9% | 104.2% |
Every figure above is a plain average of the books polled for this event, equally weighted, with no book excluded. This is the market's own number, not a pick, a prediction, or a recommendation — nothing here implies a favorite or a guaranteed outcome.
How each team's completed games have settled since scoring began on September 10, 2026. Records are what happened, not a forecast — nothing here says anything about this game.
3 completed games
| Split | Record | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Over hit | 2-1 | — |
| Under hit | 1-2 | — |
| Covered the spread | 2-1 | — |
| Covered at home | 2-1 | — |
| Covered on the road | — | — |
| Covered as favorite | 1-1 | — |
| Covered as underdog | 1-0 |
No EV+ opportunity has ever been detected for this event.
| 69% |
| DraftKings | Penn State Nittany Lions | 3.10 | 32.3% | 104.2% | 31% |
| Hard Rock Bet | Michigan Wolverines | 1.36 | 73.5% | 104.8% | 70.2% |
| Hard Rock Bet | Penn State Nittany LionsBest price | 3.20 | 31.3% | 104.8% | 29.8% |
| MyBookie.ag | Michigan WolverinesBest price | 1.41 | 70.9% | 105.1% | 67.5% |
| MyBookie.ag | Penn State Nittany Lions | 2.93 | 34.1% | 105.1% | 32.5% |
| Courtside | Michigan Wolverines | 1.40 | 71.4% | 103.2% | 69.2% |
| Courtside | Penn State Nittany Lions | 3.15 | 31.7% | 103.2% | 30.8% |
| Fliff | Michigan Wolverines | 1.37 | 73% | 105.3% | 69.4% |
| Fliff | Penn State Nittany Lions | 3.10 | 32.3% | 105.3% | 30.6% |
| BetRivers | Michigan Wolverines | 1.35 | 74.1% | 105.3% | 70.3% |
| BetRivers | Penn State Nittany Lions | 3.20 | 31.3% | 105.3% | 29.7% |
| betPARX | Michigan Wolverines | 1.35 | 74.1% | 105.3% | 70.3% |
| betPARX | Penn State Nittany Lions | 3.20 | 31.3% | 105.3% | 29.7% |
| Bally Bet | Michigan Wolverines | 1.35 | 74.1% | 105.3% | 70.3% |
| Bally Bet | Penn State Nittany Lions | 3.20 | 31.3% | 105.3% | 29.7% |
| FanDuel | Michigan Wolverines | 1.39 | 71.9% | 104.7% | 68.7% |
| FanDuel | Penn State Nittany Lions | 3.05 | 32.8% | 104.7% | 31.3% |
| ReBet | Michigan Wolverines | 1.41 | 70.9% | 105.1% | 67.5% |
| ReBet | Penn State Nittany Lions | 2.93 | 34.1% | 105.1% | 32.5% |
| theScore Bet | Michigan Wolverines | 1.40 | 71.4% | 103.7% | 68.9% |
| theScore Bet | Penn State Nittany Lions | 3.10 | 32.3% | 103.7% | 31.1% |
| LowVig.ag | Michigan Wolverines | 1.39 | 71.9% | 104.1% | 69.1% |
| LowVig.ag | Penn State Nittany Lions | 3.11 | 32.2% | 104.1% | 30.9% |
| BetOnline.ag | Michigan Wolverines | 1.39 | 71.9% | 104.1% | 69.1% |
| BetOnline.ag | Penn State Nittany Lions | 3.11 | 32.2% | 104.1% | 30.9% |
| BetMGM | Michigan Wolverines | 1.40 | 71.4% | 103.7% | 68.9% |
| BetMGM | Penn State Nittany Lions | 3.10 | 32.3% | 103.7% | 31.1% |
| — |
| Covered at home as underdog | 1-0 | — |
|---|
3 completed games
| Split | Record | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Over hit | 2-1 | — |
| Under hit | 1-2 | — |
| Covered the spread | 1-2 | — |
| Covered at home | 1-1 | — |
| Covered on the road | 0-1 | — |
| Covered as favorite | 1-2 | — |
| Covered as underdog | — | — |
| Covered at home as underdog | — | — |
A rate appears only once a split has at least 5 decided games; below that the record is shown on its own. Pushes are counted in the record (the third number) but excluded from the rate, and games with no usable final score are excluded entirely. History starts on September 10, 2026 and can't be backfilled, so these records are short by design and grow with every completed game.